Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 58.966860 67.082642 75.434073 84.636861 94.460845 104.603746 115.837257
2025-07-06 44.830499 56.136965 68.378123 82.475835 98.131293 114.863627 133.981841
2025-07-13 39.447930 52.862448 67.899302 85.717549 105.991034 128.105031 153.823362
2025-07-20 34.719024 49.563024 66.735811 87.596414 111.820772 138.687240 170.375865
2025-07-27 29.783609 45.388499 64.024625 87.212913 114.660174 145.566795 182.482892
2025-08-03 25.514471 41.547685 61.306528 86.459161 116.761237 151.352315 193.131906
2025-08-10 22.496047 38.972706 59.867510 87.004344 120.193133 158.515564 205.228202
2025-08-17 19.413506 35.986905 57.654927 86.381401 122.048846 163.699386 214.921798
2025-08-24 17.079850 33.787583 56.263511 86.620838 124.818643 169.861165 225.677492
2025-08-31 14.609933 31.127694 54.063662 85.666901 125.991143 174.021167 234.001208
2025-09-07 13.162102 29.838434 53.600143 86.860153 129.757397 181.243358 245.913321
2025-09-14 11.959021 28.800121 53.392969 88.320324 133.810015 188.781996 258.187355
2025-09-21 10.187324 26.671159 51.549864 87.558037 135.043318 192.922864 266.470185
2025-09-28 8.273399 24.044686 48.813753 85.457277 134.465782 194.776654 271.956921
2025-10-05 7.904121 24.114380 50.034006 88.748884 140.841788 205.209312 287.826139
2025-10-12 7.248513 23.572948 50.285348 90.668724 145.416876 213.405107 300.987956
2025-10-19 6.160693 22.048379 48.934045 90.277000 146.913731 217.732507 309.415948
2025-10-26 5.128416 20.460634 47.374454 89.508014 147.851724 221.317284 316.905309
2025-11-02 4.453333 19.516188 46.774321 90.064263 150.519307 227.059698 327.035286
2025-11-09 3.662982 18.153766 45.398788 89.428662 151.541127 230.687182 334.536396
2025-11-16 3.098523 17.210060 44.655083 89.672969 153.719143 235.765527 343.823299
2025-11-23 2.447467 15.869741 43.138022 88.699594 154.191371 238.630569 350.338102
2025-11-30 2.135363 15.390326 43.092135 89.917147 157.654652 245.332835 361.640597